PGA DFS: Lineup Builder | How to winI would not put much stock into looking at how Pebble Beach played last July for the U.S. Open when evaluating this week’s event. The U.S. Open featured deeper rough, narrower fairways, and faster greens. While that week did play exceptionally soft and there was little to no wind to speak of, the overall difficulty was ratcheted way up compared to the conditions that will face golfers this week. Pebble Beach is very much a “less-than-driver” layout where players will be able to hit 3-wood and irons off of the tee and still be left with just a short iron or wedge on most of their approach shots. Short hitters, such as Ted Potter Jr., Vaughn Taylor, and Jordan Spieth, have claimed wins here in the past few years, while Gary Woodland was able to ride his trademark stinger to victory here over the summer. Pebble Beach also features some of the smallest greens of any Tour stop, so I want to take a look at “strokes gained: around the greens.” The rough and poa greens at Pebble tend to be tricky, so saving strokes at an event that tends to be a birdie-fest will be crucial come Sunday. If you have more questions or are looking for more betting and DFS advice (NFL, MLB, NBA, PGA), check me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj).Key StatsStrokes Gained: ApproachScrambling Par 4 ScoringApproach <175 Yards Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Advice, OddsOutright Bets to Consider*odds via DraftKings SportsbookPaul Casey 18/1 I just want to say that I hate the top of the betting board this week. Dustin Johnson and Patrick Cantlay are rightfully the favorites at +675 and 10/1, respectively, but there isn’t enough value on either of them, in my opinion, to make an outright bet on them. This leads me to look at Casey at 18/1 to start off my card. Casey hasn’t flashed much upside this season, but he is one of the best ball strikers in this field and has posted finishes of second and T8 in his past two showings at the Pro-Am. Casey ranked inside of the top 35 in both "strokes gained: approach" and approaches from 150-175 yards in his last event, and a few weeks off could see him return to a higher level that we would expect from an elite long-term iron player. Russell Knox 50/1 The PGA Tour and a bunch of B-list celebrities make their way to iconic Pebble Beach this week for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This tournament is similar to The American Express from a few weeks ago in that the event is spread out over three different courses during the first three rounds of play. From there, the top-60 players make the cut and play host course, Pebble Beach Golf Links, for the final Sunday round.In terms of difficulty, Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill are the more difficult of the three courses, while Monterey Peninsula typically plays the easiest of the bunch. None of these courses are very long, with Pebble Beach being unusually short for a Par-72 course, checking in at about 6,800 yards. This leads to a pretty clear profile of what it takes to be successful around here: Hit the fairways and set up your short iron/wedge play. Knox is quietly playing some great golf right now after posting four straight finishes inside of the top 40. He opened with an uninspiring 71 last week in Phoenix but closed strong with rounds of 67, 67, and 69 to finish T16. His iron play is clicking on all cylinders after gaining 4.4 strokes on approaches last week in Phoenix, good for 10th in the field. Knox has played this event well with finishes of T14 and T15 the previous two seasons, which make his +200 odds to finish within the top 20 an attractive option if you don’t want to bite on his 50/1 outright odds. Max Homa 70/1 I’m a big fan of Homa’s game, and a strong 2020 will go a long way to prove that his win at last year’s Wells Fargo Championship was no fluke. He was in the hunt on Sunday last week until a water ball on 13 doomed any chance he had at a late come-from-behind win. Homa is a local, who has played these courses dozens of times, and he showed how much he likes these northern California coastal layouts after his T10 showing last season. Back-to-back top-10 finishes where he ranked inside of the top 25 in "strokes gained: approach" tells me that his game is right where it needs to be for a big-time win. Similar to Knox, I love the value on a top-20 bet for Homa at +250. Jimmy Walker 125/1 We’ve seen longshot winners of this event a few times over the years, so I absolutely want to sprinkle in at least one 100/1-or-over outright bet. Walker, the 2014 Pro-Am winner, not only has one of the best course histories in the field, but he also has been striping his irons this season, gaining strokes on his approach is each of the events he’s played in 2020. Walker is a guy who is always in play for an outright, T10, T20, or DFS play on courses that take driver out of his hands, and 125/1 is nice value in a field that is one of the weakest that we’ll see for the next few months.